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Archery

UK Sport medal prediction 0

Guardian medal prediction 0

Who are the medal chances? n/a

After performing poorly in London, Great Britain’s squad have been trimmed to two. Naomi Folkard returns for a fourth Olympic Games. Ranked 69th in the world, she will not be among the medals but warrants her place after finishing second at the recent World Cup event in Turkey. In the men’s event, Patrick Huston is a former world junior champion and at 20 is very much one for the future.
Justin Rose looks forward to Rio golf and gets in Olympic spirit

Athletics
UK Sport medal prediction 7-9

Guardian medal prediction 9

Who are the medal chances? Men’s 5,000m: Mo Farah (gold); men’s 10,000m: Farah (G); men’s long jump: Greg Rutherford (G); men’s 4x100m relay; men’s 4x400m relay; women’s heptathlon: Jessica Ennis-Hill (G), Katarina Johnson-Thompson; women’s 1500m: Laura Muir; women’s 4x100m relay.

If the bookmakers are right, GB should win four gold medals – and it is the usual suspects from London 2012 who should provide them. Farah is a strong favourite in the 5,000m and 10,000m although it would be unwise to write off the Kenyan challenge, particularly Geoffrey Kamworor in the 10,000m. He beat Farah convincingly in the world half-marathon challenge in March. Rutherford is ranked only the seventh best long jumper in the world this year but has an uncanny knack of peaking to perfection when it really matters and is rightly favourite in Rio. Ennis-Hill faces an epic battle against Johnson-Thompson and the Canadian Brianne Theisen-Eaton but is in better shape than when she won gold at the world championships in 2015. Team GB have placed particular emphasis on the relays and have a chance of winning medals in all four events – assuming they get the baton round. Muir’s brilliant British record over 1500m at the Anniversary Games in London shows she has a great chance of a medal too.

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Badminton
UK Sport medal prediction 0-1

Guardian medal prediction 0

Who are the medal chances? Mixed doubles: Chris and Gabby Adcock.

The Adcocks, ranked seventh in the world, are GB’s only realistic hope of a medal. GB are at least represented in all five events for the first time in 12 years – Rajiv Ouseph returns in the men’s singles while Kirsty Gilmour, ranked 15th in the world, makes her debut. The men’s and the women’s doubles pairs are unlikely to last long.

Basketball
No Great Britain entry

Boxing
UK Sport medal prediction 3-5

Guardian medal prediction 4

Who are the medal chances? Women’s fly: Nicola Adams (G); men’s light-fly: Galal Yafai; men’s middle: Anthony Fowler; men’s super-heavy: Joe Joyce.

After winning three gold as well as silver and bronze medals at London 2012 from an entry of 10 boxers, the GB team arrive in Rio with slightly reduced ambitions of between three and five visits to the podium, even with a record 12-member team. There is more depth but not quite the quality. Nevertheless, the reigning Olympic champion, Adams, is the only female boxer in history to have won every major title available to her and is in splendid form to add more gold. The 33-year-old won the world title in Kazakhstan in May at her third attempt.

Canoeing

UK Sport medal prediction 3-5

Guardian medal prediction 2

Who are the medal chances? Slalom – men’s C1: David Florence (G); men’s C2: Florence and Richard Hounslow; sprint – men’s K1 200m: Liam Heath; men’s K2 200m: Heath and Jon Schofield.

Of the four medals secured at London 2012, those who won gold – Ed McKeever in the K1 200m sprint and Etienne Stott and Tim Baillie in the C2 slalom – will not be present in Rio but hopes remain high of matching London and much will depend on how Florence fares in his two slalom events. At Beijing in 2008 he won C1 silver and was favourite for gold in London only to finish 10th before responding in the C2 to take another silver along with Hounslow. Florence is the C1 world champion and he and Hounslow will also be in contention in the C2. In the sprint events, Heath and Schofield, bronze medallists in the K2 200m in London, are GB’s best shout while Heath goes in the individual after winning European gold in June. Rachel Cawthorn and Jess Walker in the sprints, and Fiona Pennie in the slalom, lead the women’s charge but any podium places would be a pleasant surprise.

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Cycling

UK Sport medal prediction 8-10

Guardian medal prediction 7

Who are the medal chances? Men’s sprint: Jason Kenny; men’s time trial: Chris Froome (G); BMX: Liam Phillips; men’s team pursuit: Bradley Wiggins, Owain Doull, Ed Clancy, Steven Burke, Mark Cavendish (four from five); women’s omnium: Laura Trott (G); women’s road race: Lizzie Armitstead (G); women’s keirin: Becky James.

It’s extremely difficult to know what to expect from the GB track cyclists in Rio. Following poor, bordering on disastrous, showings at the world championships in 2014 and 2015, they topped the medals table with five golds, one silver and three bronze at Lee Valley VeloPark in March. They then lost their performance director, Shane Sutton, who resigned amid allegations of sexism and bullying that he denies. Trott ought to win the omnium, while Wiggins has said nothing less than gold will do as he attempts to become Britain’s most decorated Olympian in the men’s team pursuit. On the road, Froome should win the time trial if he carries his Tour de France form to Rio, while Armitstead would be a worthy winner of the road race. Phillips is ranked No2 in the world BMX rankings and should finish on the podium, albeit in a discipline where luck invariably plays a significant role. While these are the most likely medallists, most Team GB riders are in with a shout of glory.

Diving

UK Sport medal prediction 1-2

Guardian medal prediction 1

Who are the medal chances? Men’s 10m: Tom Daley; men’s 10m synchro: Daley and Dan Goodfellow.

Daley is the standout name. He is competing at his third Olympic Games and teams up with debutant Goodfellow in the 10m synchro. Just as Daley has in the individual, the pair have spent much of the season on the second or third rungs of the podium. Daley endured high drama on the way to bronze in London and will be hoping for a smoother route to a medal in Rio. Jack Laugher is the world 3m springboard bronze-medal winner, individually and with Chris Mears in the synchro. Sarah Barrow caps a remarkable comeback to make the team alongside Tonia Couch, while Lois Toulson is among Team GB’s youngest athletes at 16.

Equestrianism

UK Sport medal prediction 2-4

Guardian medal prediction 3

Who are the medal chances? Individual dressage: Charlotte Dujardin (G); team dressage (G); team eventing; team jumping.

Dujardin leads hopes in the dressage and her partnership with Valegro looks well placed to win individual and team golds, just as it did at London 2012. Since then Dujardin has won gold medals at the World Equestrian Games and European Championships and she returns in a team which again features Carl Hester but no Laura Tomlinson (née Bechtolsheimer) who won individual bronze in London. William Fox-Pitt spearheads the eventing team who have won a medal at every Olympic Games since Sydney 2000. Nick Skelton makes history by appearing at his seventh Olympics in the jumping team which also claimed gold four years ago.

Fencing

UK Sport medal prediction 0-1

Guardian medal prediction 0

Who are the medal chances? n/a

A significantly truncated team compared to London 2012. James Davis, Laurence Halsted and Richard Kruse are the three selected because only the men’s foil team qualified. Any individual victories can be seen as a feather in the cap and while Kruse finished eighth at Athens 2004, the 25-year-old Davis is the greater hope. The foil team finished sixth in London and we can expect similar in Rio.

Football

No Great Britain entry

Golf

UK Sport medal prediction 1-2

Guardian medal prediction 2

Who are the medal chances? Justin Rose, Catriona Matthew.

Rose’s season has been disrupted by a back problem but the issue appears to have cleared up in good time for Rio. With golf firmly in the grip of negative Olympic publicity, Rose has been a beacon of optimism with his embracing of the Games and all that comes with it. More importantly, his game is easily strong enough to shine in reduced Olympic company. Matthew’s success has not been properly recognised in Great Britain. The 46-year-old Scot is a model of consistency and a major winner in women’s golf. Matthew, like Rose, seems on a mission to prove golf’s value as an Olympic sport. That added motivation is pertinent.

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Gymnastics

UK Sport medal prediction 3-5

Guardian medal prediction 5

Who are the medal chances? Men’s team; pommel horse: Max Whitlock (G), Louis Smith; all-around: Whitlock; women’s uneven bars: Becky Downie.

If 2012 was all about Smith, this year it’s the turn of Whitlock, who since his pommel bronze in 2012 has developed into the best all-around gymnast Britain has ever had. He and Smith are far ahead of anyone else in the world on pommel, and should finish one-two. And there should be a women’s medal somewhere in the mix – if not Downie on bars, then there is an outside chance of their first team Olympic medal, after a bronze at last year’s world championships.

Handball

No Great Britain entry

Hockey

UK Sport medal prediction 1-2

Guardian medal prediction 0

Who are the medal chances? Women’s team.

As was the case in London, the men’s and women’s teams have realistic medal ambitions but they are more hopeful than expectant. The women’s team, bronze-medal winners four years ago, are still led by Kate Richardson-Walsh and won European gold in London last year. Argentina and the Netherlands, Olympic finalists in 2012, are again the teams to beat. The men, fourth in London, have a fresher feel to them but another fourth-placed finish in the Champions Trophy in June was a familiar story.
Judo

UK Sport medal prediction 0-1

Guardian medal prediction 0

Who are the medal chances? 78kg: Natalie Powell.

UK Sport’s target in judo is less than what was achieved at London 2012, where a silver and a bronze surpassed expectations. Gemma Gibbons is a notable absentee. At eighth in the world a medal for Powell is not inconceivable while Alice Schlesinger is ninth in her category. Then there are Nekoda Smythe-Davis, the Commonwealth champion, and the capable Sally Conway. The men’s trio of Ashley McKenzie, Colin Oates and Ben Fletcher are not really among the contenders.
Modern pentathlon

UK Sport medal prediction 1-2

Guardian medal prediction 0

Who are the medal chances? Samantha Murray.

Murray continued Great Britain’s record of winning a modern pentathlon medal at every Olympics since the sport’s introduction for women in 2000 and is the main hope again. She won the world title in 2014, was fifth in the same competition this year and was eighth at the Olympic test event. She is joined by Kate French, who qualified at last year’s European Championships in Bath, as did the 21-year-old Joe Choong – while James Cooke scraped in with a top-10 finish at this year’s world championships.

Rowing

UK Sport medal prediction 6-8

Guardian medal prediction 7

Who are the medal chances? Men: four (G); eight (G); lightweight double; lightweight four. Women: pair (G); eight; lightweight double.

Helen Glover and Heather Stanning are unbeaten since London 2012 and likely to stay that way. The other strong hopes come in the men’s four and the men’s eight, who feature Peter Reed and Andy Triggs Hodge. Kath Copeland returns in the lightweight double with Charlotte Taylor, hopeful of another medal despite failing to reach the final of the European Championships. In the men’s lightweight double Will Fletcher and Richard Chambers are the 2015 world silver medallists, while in the lightweight four Peter Chambers and Chris Bartley remain from the quartet who won London 2012 silver. Other contenders include Alan Campbell in the single, the women’s eight, and Alan Sinclair and Stewart Innes as the men’s paircorrect – who have made a late dash at the pair. The podium will probably prove beyond Grainger in the double.

Rugby

UK Sport medal prediction 0-1

Guardian medal prediction 0

Who are the medal chances? n/a

The women, captained by Emily Scarratt, have a more settled look but for all the RFU’s investment in women’s sevens there is still a considerable gap to the elite. The men seem to be on a hiding to nothing and have been widely lamented for not getting their house in order early enough to recruit star names like New Zealand have with Sonny Bill Williams. Simon Amor’s men will be competitive but already there feels like a sense of what might have been. Still, England – with a youthful Lawrence Dallaglio to the fore – did win the inaugural Sevens World Cup in 1993.

Sailing

UK Sport medal prediction 3-6

Guardian medal prediction 5

Who are the medal chances? Finn: Giles Scott (G); Laser: Nick Thompson (G); Laser Radial: Alison Young; 470: Saskia Clark and Hannah Mills; men’s RS:X: Nick Dempsey; women’s RS:X: Bryony Shaw.

Sir Ben Ainslie’s retirement finally allows Scott, the dominant force in Finn class sailing, a tilt at Olympic gold and on form GB’s dominance of the event should continue. Thompson may join him atop the podium, having won world Laser gold last year and this. Young became the first British woman to become a world champion in a solo Olympic dinghy class (Laser Radial) in April. Other medal prospects include Clark and Mills, silver medallists four years ago in a fledging partnership that has since been cemented. The windsurfers Dempsey and Shaw have Olympic pedigree with three medals between them.

Shooting

UK Sport medal prediction 1-2

Guardian medal prediction 0

Who are the medal chances? Double trap: Tim Kneale.

GB have a rich history in Olympic shooting and there is hope the trend will continue. Amber Hill, at only 18, appears to be a skeet-shooting star in the making and won the European Games title in Baku last year but the Olympics are a big step up. Kneale, a world silver medallist in 2015, and Steve Scott may be better bets in the double trap, while Jen McIntosh, Scotland’s most decorated athlete in Commonwealth Games history, goes in the 50m three positions.

Swimming 

UK Sport medal prediction 3-5

Guardian medal prediction 5

Who are the medal chances? Men’s 100m breaststroke: Adam Peaty (G), Ross Murdoch; men’s 200m freestyle: James Guy; men’s 4x200m freestyle relay; women’s 200m medley: Siobhan-Marie O’Connor; women’s 400m freestyle: Jazz Carlin; women’s 800m freestyle: Carlin.

Peaty is nailed on for 100m breaststroke gold and Murdoch could well join him on the podium. In the 200m Andrew Willis may sneak a medal while Guy, having won 200m freestyle gold and 400m freestyle silver at last year’s world championships, commands attention. The men’s 4x200m quartet are a good bet too. Fran Halsall may squeeze into contention while O’Connor has pedigree in the 200m medley as the world bronze medallist, as does Carlin, who goes in the 400m and 800m freestyle.

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Synchronised swimming

UK Sport medal prediction n/a

Guardian medal prediction 0

Who are the medal chances? n/a

Katie Clark and Olivia Federici have been deemed worthy of a place in the duet competition after qualifying in March. The pair had retired in 2013, along with a number of other synchronised swimmers who entered the team event in London (Federici and Jenna Randall entered the duet in 2012, finishing ninth). Funding cuts a year later had made any British entrants at all unlikely in Rio and while they do not represent medal prospects they have nonetheless been selected.

Table tennis

UK Sport medal prediction 0

Guardian medal prediction 0

Who are the medal chances? n/a

Paul Drinkhall and Liam Pitchford have earned the right to take part in Rio, qualifying via their world ranking after both were selected for London 2012 thanks to GB’s home-nation status. Drinkhall reached the last 32 in London but neither he nor the 22-year-old Pitchford will challenge China’s dominance in Rio, even if there was a bronze medal for England at the World Team Championships in Malaysia in March. Sam Walker has also been selected for the team event.

Taekwondo

UK Sport medal prediction 1-3

Guardian medal prediction 2

Who are the medal chances? 57kg: Jade Jones (G); 80kg: Lutalo Muhammad (G); +67kg: Bianca Walkden (G).

All four fighters selected have claims to the podium. Jones is the defending champion and won the European title in May. Also returning from London is Muhammad, who won bronze in 2012 despite controversy over his selection ahead of Aaron Cook. Muhammad won the overall World Grand Prix title in Mexico last December, beating Cook in the final. Walkden, as the world and European champion, may be the best bet for a medal, while Mahama Cho won the European Olympic qualifying tournament in January.

Tennis

UK Sport medal prediction 1-2

Guardian medal prediction 3

Who are the medal chances? Men’s singles: Andy Murray (G). Women’s singles: Jo Konta. Men’s doubles: Andy and Jamie Murray.

Andy Murray’s gold medal at the London Olympics catapulted him into the upper echelons of tennis. “It’s as good as a major,” his coach Ivan Lendl told him. Within weeks, he had won his breakthrough grand slam title at the US Open. Four years later, the world No2 has made defending his Olympic title a priority and goes into the tournament buoyed by winning his third grand slam title and second at Wimbledon. He and Laura Robson won silver in the mixed doubles in 2012, and the best chance for a second tennis medal in Rio predictably lies again with Murray, who is in the doubles with his brother, Jamie. The British No1, Johanna Konta, will be a strong contender in the women’s singles.

Triathlon

UK Sport medal prediction 2-3

Guardian medal prediction 3

Who are the medal chances? Alistair Brownlee (G), Jonny Brownlee, Non Stanford, Helen Jenkins.

Alistair Brownlee has spent too much time injured since winning gold at London 2012 but his recent performances suggest a persistent ankle problem is under control. He is the favourite this time, on a hilly Rio course that should suit him. In the absence of Javier Gómez, Mario Mola is Brownlee’s most likely challenger for top spot, with his brother Jonny favoured to repeat his bronze medal performance of four years ago. In the women’s event, the American Gwen Jorgensen is the favourite but Jenkins, Stanford and Vicky Holland are all medal contenders although they face stiff competition from Bermuda’s Flora Duffy and the New Zealander Andrea Hewitt.

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Volleyball
No Great Britain entry

Water polo
No Great Britain entry

Weightlifting
UK Sport medal prediction 0

Guardian medal prediction 0

Who are the medal chances? n/a

The 17-year-old Rebekah Tiler and Sonny Webster, 22, fly the flag for Great Britain and were selected to gain experience rather than as medal prospects. Tiler benefited from an injury to Zoe Smith in order to claim the one women’s place in the British team but she is a European bronze medallist and came fourth at the 2014 Commonwealth Games. Webster is also a European Junior medallist and finished fifth at Glasgow 2014. David Mercer’s bronze in 1984 is GB’s only Olympic weightlifting medal since 1964 and that will not change in Rio